Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.657920 0.736390 0.821566 0.921063 1.034316 1.159462 1.308564
2025-02-23 0.539931 0.647856 0.774502 0.934835 1.133464 1.372812 1.685104
2025-03-02 0.459134 0.576143 0.720566 0.913357 1.166110 1.489129 1.937910
2025-03-09 0.416615 0.542480 0.704491 0.930600 1.241626 1.659706 2.273185
2025-03-16 0.374384 0.502683 0.673707 0.921503 1.276563 1.774966 2.541835
2025-03-23 0.345937 0.477464 0.658408 0.929652 1.333123 1.922624 2.870746
2025-03-30 0.315853 0.446513 0.631282 0.916669 1.355476 2.019942 3.132162
2025-04-06 0.292234 0.422344 0.611072 0.910800 1.386176 2.130704 3.425189
2025-04-13 0.263253 0.387656 0.572058 0.871980 1.360550 2.148456 3.564628
2025-04-20 0.249768 0.375077 0.565092 0.882010 1.413113 2.296777 3.942837
2025-04-27 0.237846 0.363826 0.558999 0.892384 1.466415 2.450596 4.348452
2025-05-04 0.226458 0.352446 0.551603 0.899545 1.514238 2.598774 4.760972
2025-05-11 0.214964 0.340306 0.542425 0.903533 1.558069 2.746628 5.197438
2025-05-18 0.206539 0.332592 0.539960 0.918904 1.623878 2.942181 5.756360
2025-05-25 0.192401 0.314254 0.518083 0.897676 1.619508 3.003343 6.046042
2025-06-01 0.185960 0.308533 0.517385 0.914600 1.688673 3.214722 6.684225
2025-06-08 0.175918 0.295848 0.503485 0.905677 1.706391 3.324175 7.112604
2025-06-15 0.169272 0.288667 0.498817 0.913669 1.758195 3.508916 7.738450
2025-06-22 0.160146 0.276444 0.484112 0.900937 1.766293 3.601464 8.159853
2025-06-29 0.152680 0.266763 0.473421 0.895180 1.788214 3.726072 8.677226
2025-07-06 0.141512 0.249605 0.447631 0.857106 1.737749 3.683876 8.769396
2025-07-13 0.137223 0.245026 0.445430 0.866944 1.792113 3.886094 9.522907
2025-07-20 0.133229 0.240751 0.443499 0.877119 1.848079 4.098189 10.336735